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AI Will Concentrate Value Through Distribution, Not Fragment Markets

Everyone thinks AI will fragment markets.

More builders, more niche tools, more startups.

You don’t have to go too far to question that… just take a look at oil prices. They don’t depend on how many small producers exist. They move based on who controls the Strait of Hormuz. Distribution wins.

That’s the core idea: AI won’t spread value - it will concentrate it.

We saw this with the internet. Millions of businesses appeared, but most of the value flowed to a few aggregators. AI just accelerates that pattern.

Two things drive it:

1️⃣ more data → better product → eventually replaces the service itself

Before AI: More data = small improvement

With AI: More data = new capability… at some point, it stops being a tool and becomes the outcome.

You’re not improving the workflow - you’re deleting the need for it. That’s why data becomes a moat. It defines what your product is even capable of doing.

2️⃣ AI reduces internal chaos → big companies scale without breaking

Normally, big companies hit a wall: growth, complexity, paralysis 💥

AI changes that. Fewer people needed, less communication, less coordination, more productivity. Which means companies can grow much bigger before breaking.

All of this leads to fewer, bigger players. More builders, but fewer winners.

What stays scarce?

‼️Distribution‼️

…and scarcity is where the money goes.

AI Will Concentrate Value Through Distribution, Not Fragment Markets

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